In numerous application areas, when the response variable is continuous, positively skewed, and well fitted to the inverse Gaussian distribution, the inverse Gaussian regression model (IGRM) is an effective approach in such scenarios. The problem of multicollinearity is very common in several application areas like chemometrics, biology, finance, and so forth. The effects of multicollinearity can be reduced using the ridge estimator. This research proposes new ridge estimators to address the issue of multicollinearity in the IGRM. The performance of the new estimators is compared with the maximum likelihood estimator and some other existing estimators. The mean square error is used as a performance evaluation criterion. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the new ridge estimators based on the minimum mean square error criterion. The Monte Carlo simulation results show that the performance of the proposed estimators is better than the available methods. The comparison of proposed ridge estimators is also evaluated using two real chemometrics applications. The results of Monte Carlo simulation and real applications confirmed the superiority of the proposed ridge estimators to other competitor methods.
This article introduces the almost unbiased gamma ridge regression estimator (AUGRRE) estimator based on the gamma ridge regression estimator (GRRE). Furthermore, some shrinkage parameters are proposed for the AUGRRE. The performance of the AUGRRE by using different shrinkage parameters is compared with the existing GRRE and maximum likelihood estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to assess the performance of the estimators where the bias and mean squared error performance criteria are used. We also used a real-life dataset to demonstrate the benefit of the proposed estimators. The simulation and real-life example results show the superiority of AUGRRE over the GRRE and the maximum likelihood estimator for the gamma regression model with collinear explanatory variables.
In this article, we propose generalized two-parameter (GTP) estimators and an algorithm for the estimation of shrinkage parameters to combat multicollinearity in the multinomial logit regression model. In addition, the mean squared error properties of the estimators are derived. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of proposed estimators for different sample sizes, degrees of multicollinearity, and the number of explanatory variables. Swedish football league dataset is analyzed to show the benefits of the GTP estimators over the traditional maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). The empirical results of this article revealed that GTP estimators have a smaller mean squared error than the MLE and can be recommended for practitioners.
The assumption of normality is crucial in many multivariate inference methods and may be even more important when the dimension of data is proportional to the sample size. It is therefore necessary that tests for multivariate non normality remain well behaved in such settings. In this article, we examine the properties of three common moment-based tests for non normality under increasing dimension asymptotics (IDA). It is demonstrated through Monte Carlo simulations that one of the tests is inconsistent under IDA and that one of them stands out as uniformly superior to the other two.
In this paper we generalize four tests of multivariate linear hypothesis to panel data unit root testing. The test statistics are invariant to certain linear transformations of data and therefore simulated critical values may conveniently be used. It is demonstrated that all four tests remains well behaved in cases of where there are heterogeneous alternatives and cross-correlations between marginal variables. A Monte Carlo simulation is included to compare and contrast the tests with two well-established ones.
In this paper, a short background of the Jarque and McKenzie (JM) test for non-normality is given, and the small sample properties of the test is examined in view of robustness, size and power. The investigation has been performed using Monte Carlo simulations where factors like, e.g., the number of equations, nominal sizes, degrees of freedom, have been varied.
Generally, the JM test has shown to have good power properties. The estimated size due to the asymptotic distribution is not very encouraging though. The slow rate of convergence to its asymptotic distribution suggests that empirical critical values should be used in small samples.
In addition, the experiment shows that the properties of the JM test may be disastrous when the disturbances are autocorrelated. Moreover, the simulations show that the distribution of the regressors may also have a substantial impact on the test, and that homogenised OLS residuals should be used when testing for non-normality in small samples.
This paper proposes several estimators for estimating the ridge parameter k based for Poisson ridge regression (RR) model. These estimators have been evaluated by means of Monte Carlo simulations. As performance criteria, we have calculated the mean squared error (MSE), the mean value and the standard deviation of k. The first criterion is commonly used, while the other two have never been used when analyzing Poisson RR. However, these performance criterion are very informative because, if several estimators have an equal estimated MSE then those with low average value and standard deviation of k should be preferred. Based on the simulated results we may recommend some biasing parameters which may be useful for the practitioners in the field of health, social and physical sciences.
In this article, we propose a nonlinear Dickey-Fuller F test for unit root against first-order Logistic Smooth Transition Autoregressive (LSTAR) (1) model with time as the transition variable. The nonlinear Dickey-Fuller F test statistic is established under the null hypothesis of random walk without drift and the alternative model is a nonlinear LSTAR (1) model. The asymptotic distribution of the test is analytically derived while the small sample distributions are investigated by Monte Carlo experiment. The size and power properties of the test were investigated using Monte Carlo experiment. The results showed that there is a serious size distortion for the test when GARCH errors appear in the Data Generating Process (DGP), which led to an over-rejection of the unit root null hypothesis. To solve this problem, we use the Wavelet technique to count off the GARCH distortion and improve the size property of the test under GARCH error. We also discuss the asymptotic distributions of the test statistics in GARCH and wavelet environments.
In ridge regression, the estimation of the ridge parameter is an important issue. This article generalizes some methods for estimating the ridge parameter for probit ridge regression (PRR) model based on the work of Kibria et al. (2011). The performance of these new estimators is judged by calculating the mean squared error (MSE) using Monte Carlo simulations. In the design of the experiment, we chose to vary the sample size and the number of regressors. Furthermore, we generate explanatory variables that are linear combinations of other regressors, which is a common situation in economics. In an empirical application regarding Swedish job search data, we also illustrate the benefits of the new method.
In this article, we investigate the effect of spillover (i.e., causality in variance) on the reliability of Granger causality test based on ordinary least square estimates. We studied eight different versions of the test both, with and without Whites heteroskedasticity consistent covariance matrix (HCCME). The properties of the tests are investigated by means of a Monte Carlo experiment where 21 different data generating processes (DGP) are used and a number of factors that might affect the test are varied. The result shows that the best choice to test for Granger causality under the presence of spillover is the Lagrange Multiplier test with HCCME.
The experiments where response of a treatment (direct effect) is affected by the treatment(s) applied in neighboring units, neighbor designs are used to balance the neighbor effects. Being the economical, minimal neighbor designs are preferred by the experimenters. Minimal circular neighbor designs could not be constructed for almost every case of v even, where v is number of treatments. For v even, minimal circular generalized neighbor designs are preferred. In this article, algorithms are developed to obtain minimal circular generalized neighbor designs in which (a) v/2 of the unordered pairs, and (b) 3v/2 of the unordered pairs, do not appear as neighbor whereas the remaining ones appear once. These algorithms are also coded with R-language.
The Forecasting of sales in a company is one of the crucial challenges that must be faced. Nowadays, there is a large spectrum of methods that enable making reliable forecasts. However, sometimes the nature of time series excludes many well-known and widely used forecasting methods (e.g. econometric models). Therefore, the authors decided to forecast on the basis of a seasonally adjusted median of selected probability distributions. The obtained forecasts were verified by means of distributions of the Theil U2 coefficient and unbiasedness coefficient.
Based on the work of Khalaf and Shukur (2005), Alkhamisi et al. (2006), and Muniz et al. (2010), this article considers several estimators for estimating the ridge parameter k. This article differs from aforementioned articles in three ways: (1) Data are generated from Normal, Student's t, and F distributions with appropriate degrees of freedom; (2) The number of regressors considered are from 4-12 instead of 2-4, which are the usual practice; (3) Both mean square error (MSE) and prediction sum of square (PRESS) are considered as the performance criterion. A simulation study has been conducted to compare the performance of the estimators. Based on the simulation study we found that, increasing the correlation between the independent variables has negative effect on the MSE and PRESS. However, increasing the number of regressors has positive effect on MSE and PRESS. When the sample size increases the MSE decreases even when the correlation between the independent variables is large. It is interesting to note that the dominance pictures of the estimators are remained the same under both the MSE and PRESS criterion. However, the performance of the estimators depends on the choice of the assumption of the error distribution of the regression model.
In this article, two new powerful tests for cointegration are proposed. The general idea is based on an intuitively appealing extension of the traditional, rather restrictive cointegration concept. In this article, we allow for a nonlinear, but most importantly a different, asymmetric convergence process to account for negative and positive changes in our cointegration approach. Using Monte Carlo simulations we verify, that the estimated size of the first test depends on the unknown value of a signal-to-noise ratio q. However, our second test—which is based on the original ideas of Kanioura and Turner—is more successful and robust in the sense that it works in all of the different evaluated situations. Furthermore it is shown to be more powerful than the traditional residual based Enders and Siklos method. The new optimal test is also applied in an empirical example in order to test for potential nonlinear asymmetric price transmission effects on the Swedish power market. We find that there is a higher propensity for power retailers to rapidly and systematically increase their retail electricity prices subsequent to increases in Nordpool's wholesale prices, than there is for them to reduce their prices subsequent to a drop in wholesale spot prices.
In this article, three innovative panel error-correction model (PECM) tests are proposed. These tests are based on the multivariate versions of the Wald (W), likelihood ratio (LR), and Lagrange multiplier (LM) tests. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the size and power of the tests are investigated when the error terms exhibit both cross-sectional dependence and independence. We find that the LM test is the best option when the error terms follow independent white-noise processes. However, in the more empirically relevant case of cross-sectional dependence, we conclude that the W test is the optimal choice. In contrast to previous studies, our method is general and does not rely on the strict assumption that a common factor causes the cross-sectional dependency. In an empirical application, our method is also demonstrated in terms of the Fisher effect—a hypothesis about the existence of which there is still no clear consensus. Based on our sample of the five Nordic countries we utilize our powerful test and discover evidence which, in contrast to most previous research, confirms the Fisher effect.