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Essays on Nonlinearities and Time Scales in Macroeconomics and Finance
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Economics, Finance and Statistics.
2014 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis consists of four chapters concerning the topics of nonlinearities and time scales in economics. The focus is on market frictions and price rigidities that may cause nonlinearities and different relationships between economic variables over time. It also focuses on applying robust econometrical methods. Chapter two evaluates the size and power of some nonlinear tests for panel unit roots in the presence of cross-sectional dependency and spatial dependency. Based on the simulated results some robust tests for nonlinear panel unit roots have been found.

Chapter three applies robust linear and nonlinear tests for panel unit roots in order to investigate the purchasing power parity theory in developing regions. The main finding is that nonlinearities is an important phenomenon in the real effective exchange rates in developing regions and that support for several regions may be found by applying the nonlinear panel unit root test. Chapter four investigates if positive asymmetric price transmission (APT) exists in the Swedish mortgage loan market. Here robust quantile regression is used on data for the Swedish SEB bank. The main contribution is that positive APT effects are found, which implies that there is a higher propensity for the bank to rapidly increase its mortgage interest rates for customers following an increase in its borrowing costs, compared with the propensity for the bank to decrease its customers’ mortgage rates subsequent to a corresponding borrowing cost decrease.

Chapter five investigates the causal relations between exchange rates and interest rate differentials using wavelets. Also the sign of the relationship between the two variables is studied using impulse response functions. The data used is for seven country pairs in which Sweden is included in all of the different combinations. In this chapter one key empirical finding is that the causal relationship between the two variables becomes stronger as the time scale increases. The other key empirical finding is that more evidence of negative relationships is found at the shorter time scales and more positive relationships at the longer time scales.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Jönköping: Jönköping International Business School , 2014. , p. 124
Series
JIBS Dissertation Series, ISSN 1403-0470 ; 095
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-23653ISBN: 978-91-86345-50-1 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-23653DiVA, id: diva2:708284
Public defence
2014-04-10, B1014 at JIBS, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2014-03-31 Created: 2014-03-27 Last updated: 2014-03-31Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Testing for Nonlinear Panel Unit Roots in the Presence of Cross-Sectional and Spatial Dependency
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Testing for Nonlinear Panel Unit Roots in the Presence of Cross-Sectional and Spatial Dependency
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-23648 (URN)
Available from: 2014-03-26 Created: 2014-03-26 Last updated: 2014-03-31Bibliographically approved
2. Nonlinear Behavior in Real Effective Exchange Rates for Developing Regions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Nonlinear Behavior in Real Effective Exchange Rates for Developing Regions
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-23649 (URN)
Available from: 2014-03-26 Created: 2014-03-26 Last updated: 2014-03-31Bibliographically approved
3. Asymmetric quantile analysis of the Swedish mortgage price discovery process
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Asymmetric quantile analysis of the Swedish mortgage price discovery process
2013 (English)In: Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, E-ISSN 1466-4283, Vol. 45, no 21, p. 3088-3101Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Based on Swedish banking data we discover robust and significantly positive Asymmetric Price Transmission (APT) effects over all analysed regression quantiles of our mortgage interest rates, with even larger positive APT for the higher percentiles. The analysis was enabled through unique access to a Swedish bank's (SEB) own records of their true borrowing costs. Our central contribution is that there is a higher propensity for the bank to rapidly increase its mortgage interest rates for customers following an increase in its borrowing costs, compared with the propensity for the bank to decrease its customers’ mortgage rates subsequent to a corresponding borrowing cost decrease.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2013
Keywords
asymmetric price transmission effects, least absolute deviation, quantile regression
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-22307 (URN)10.1080/00036846.2012.681030 (DOI)000306840000009 ()2-s2.0-84864023948 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2013-10-01 Created: 2013-10-01 Last updated: 2021-06-17Bibliographically approved
4. An investigation of the causal relations between exchange rates and interest rate differentials using wavelets
Open this publication in new window or tab >>An investigation of the causal relations between exchange rates and interest rate differentials using wavelets
2014 (English)In: International Review of Economics and Finance, ISSN 1059-0560, E-ISSN 1873-8036, Vol. 29, p. 321-329Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper uses wavelet analysis to investigate causality between the spot exchange rate and the nominal interest rate differential for seven country pairs, which includes Sweden. Impulse response functions are also utilized to examine the signs of how one of these variables affects the other over time. One key empirical finding from the causality tests is that there is strengthening evidence of the nominal interest rate differential Granger causing the exchange rate as the wavelet time scale increases. When considering impulse responses on how the interest rate differential affects the exchange rate, there appears to be some evidence of more negative relationships at the shorter time scales (i.e. an increase in the Swedish interest rate compared to that of another country is associated with a lower Swedish krona price of the other country's currency) and more positive relationships at the longer time scales.

Keywords
Exchange rate, Intererst rate differential, Granger causality, Wavelet analysis, Uncovered interest rate parity
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-21837 (URN)10.1016/j.iref.2013.06.004 (DOI)000329597100022 ()2-s2.0-84888291357 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2013-08-28 Created: 2013-08-28 Last updated: 2020-09-11Bibliographically approved

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