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Exchange Rate Risk: From a Portfolio Investors Point of View
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Economics.
2006 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Magister), 10 points / 15 hpStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Due to globalization investors have increasing opportunities to invest on international markets for diversification purposes. This thesis illustrates the added risks of investing internationally due to volatile exchange rates. The purpose is to analyze how a volatile

exchange rate affect the risk and return of a portfolio invested in Sweden, when the investor is located in Japan, United Kingdom or the USA.

To analyze the effect of exchange rate volatility the focus is on a portfolio consisting of Swedish stocks from the Stockholm Stock Exchange (SSE) O-list. First the risk and return to a hypothetical Swedish investor not exposed to exchange rate volatility is calculated.

Then the effects the exchange rates had on the risk and return if a US investor, UK investor and a Japanese investor invested in the same portfolio is analyzed. For the historical period 2005 the portfolio generated a return of 34.36% and a risk of 7.7%. The empirical work showed that for the international investors the risk was increased

with between 1.95% – 410.52% and that the actual return decreased due to weakening currencies against the Krona.

In an attempt to predict future exchange rate movements the thesis analyses two financial relationships, PPP and IRP, to calculate equilibrium movements. Both PPP and IRP predicted a depreciation of the Dollar and Pound Sterling against the Krona over the next

period, but an appreciation of the Yen against the Krona over the same period.

The analytical discussion covers the importance of a well functioning financial system, the institutional effects on exchange rates and the confidence in government policies and their ability to succeed in doing what has been promised.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2006. , 42 p.
Keyword [en]
Portfolio, Risk & Return, Exchange Rates, Currency Risk, Purchasing Power Parity, Interest Rate Parity
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-1012OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-1012DiVA: diva2:3443
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samhälle/juridik
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Available from: 2007-10-22 Created: 2007-10-22

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf