Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
How Does a Depreciation in the Exchange Rate Affect Trade Over Time?
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Economics.
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Economics.
2010 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this thesis is to examine how a depreciation in the exchange rate affects the trade balance in an economy over time. The outcomes of a depreciation are possible to analyze through the J-curve phenomenon that shows the relation between the exchange rate and the trade balance both in the short-run and the long-run. The data used in this thesis cover 39 countries and their quarterly changes in exchange rate between 1982 and 2005. The largest depreciation for each country during these years was detected and is the base for this research. In this thesis, focus is on the trade ratio rather than the trade balance for empirical purposes. The relation between the largest depreciations and its effect on the trade ratio are examined in two sets of regressions. The results show no evidence of a J-curve in neither one of the sets of regressions, even though the trade ratio is positively affected by the depreciation. When testing only for significantly large depreciations in the exchange rate the affect on the trade ratio is stronger, all else equal. According to the findings in this thesis, a depreciation in the real effective exchange rate causes the trade ratio to increase immediately and then decrease over time. The conclusion is that the findings are not in line with the J-curve phenomenon tested for; however, they support standard trade theory with the Marshall-Lerner condition being met i.e. a depreciation in the exchange rate will affect the trade balance positively.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2010. , p. 26
Keywords [en]
J-curve phenomenon, exchange rate, depreciation, trade balance, trade ratio
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-11831OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-11831DiVA, id: diva2:305957
Presentation
2010-01-19, B5002, 14:00 (English)
Uppsok
Social and Behavioural Science, Law
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2010-04-19 Created: 2010-03-25 Last updated: 2010-04-19Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(256 kB)20420 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT02.pdfFile size 256 kBChecksum SHA-512
237662e35da36fe0eb2e02744cba4545cba33c70c25918a1245186bd71e4b102aa353d20dc5c8fe017dd3621dfbe446821808ada35cb788911279e29066edd13
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

By organisation
JIBS, Economics
Economics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 20423 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 2062 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf