Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
The Applicability of Public Debt Research: A Comprehensive Test of the Fall & Fournier Model for Developing vs. Advanced Countries
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School.
2024 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis examines the accuracy of debt theory for advanced vs. developing countries in anempirical context. Based on the primary occurrence of sovereign debt defaults in developing countries, the rationale had been promoted that debt theory behaves differently in developing countries and should therefore be considered separately. This thesis aims to provide evidence of whether sovereign debt models, in particular the Fall and Fournier (FF-) model, show significant differences between advanced and developing countries when simulating empirical data. The FF-model is used to simulate 33 advanced and 68 developing countries from 1995 to 2021. The results show a significant better simulation quality for advanced than for developing countries alongside a high overall fit for all countries but no absolute divide between the groups. These results support the statement that advanced countries provide a better debt research basis. Therefore, theories need to be extended to better cover developing countriesand simulation outliers. This conclusion is unfolded using a structured equation model (SEM) for a time series simulation to allow for the unique character of simultaneous equations and progress along the time horizon. Limitations and opportunities of this method are identified.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. , p. 50
Keywords [en]
Public Debt, Macroeconomic Model, Developing Countries, DSGE, SEM, Simulation, Debt Accumulation
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-65045OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-65045DiVA, id: diva2:1872586
Subject / course
JIBS, Economics
Presentation
2024-05-29, B4054, Jönköping, 12:44 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2024-06-19 Created: 2024-06-18 Last updated: 2024-06-19Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

By organisation
Jönköping International Business School
Economics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 57 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf