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Optimization of Monitoring Network to the Rainfall Distribution by Using Stochastic Search Algorithms: Lesson from Pakistan
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Statistics. Univ Vet & Anim Sci, Dept Stat & Comp Sci, UVAS, Lahore, Pakistan..ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4793-9683
Stockholm Univ, Dept Stat, Stockholm, Sweden..
Quaid I Azam Univ, Dept Stat, Islamabad, Pakistan..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1586-1503
Univ Punjab, Coll Stat & Actuarial Sci, Lahore, Pakistan..
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2022 (English)In: Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, ISSN 0280-6495, E-ISSN 1600-0870, Vol. 74, no 1, p. 333-345Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Agricultural production is greatly influenced by environmental parameters such as temperature, rainfall, humidity, and wind speed. The accurate information about environmental parameters plays a vital and useful role when making policies for the agriculture sector as well as for other sectors. Pakistan meteorological department observed these environmental parameters at more than 90 stations. The allocation of these monitoring stations is not made systematically correct. This leads to inaccurate predictions for unobserved locations. The study aims to propose a monitoring network by which these prediction errors of the environmental parameters can be minimized. The well-known prediction techniques named, model-based ordinary kriging and model-based universal kriging (UK) with the known Matheron variogram model are used for prediction purposes. We investigate the monitoring network of Pakistan for rainfall and focus on both the optimal deletion/addition of monitoring stations from/to this network. The two stochastic search algorithms, spatial simulated annealing, and genetic algorithm are used for optimization purposes. Furthermore, the minimization of the Average Kriging Variance (AKV) is taken as the interpolation accuracy measure. The spatial simulated annealing exhibits a lower AKV as compared to the Genetic algorithm when adding/removing the optimal/redundant locations from the monitoring network.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm University Press, 2022. Vol. 74, no 1, p. 333-345
Keywords [en]
Environmental parameters, Variogram, Genetic algorithms, Spatial simulated annealing, Average Kriging Variance
National Category
Climate Science Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-58334DOI: 10.16993/tellusa.247ISI: 000836823100001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85140123103Local ID: GOA;intsam;827152OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-58334DiVA, id: diva2:1690440
Available from: 2022-08-26 Created: 2022-08-26 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved

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Omer, Talha

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