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Urban scaling and its deviations: Revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities
Theoretical Division and Center for Nonlinear Studies (CNLS), Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States; Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, United States.
School of Human Evolution and Social Change and W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States.
Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, United States.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4101-4279
Theoretical Division and Center for Nonlinear Studies (CNLS), Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States; Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, United States.
2010 (English)In: PLOS ONE, E-ISSN 1932-6203, Vol. 5, no 11, article id e13541Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

With urban population increasing dramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in human societies and the sustainability of the planet. An obstacle to effective policy is the lack of meaningful urban metrics based on a quantitative understanding of cities. Typically, linear per capita indicators are used to characterize and rank cities. However, these implicitly ignore the fundamental role of nonlinear agglomeration integral to the life history of cities. As such, per capita indicators conflate general nonlinear effects, common to all cities, with local dynamics, specific to each city, failing to provide direct measures of the impact of local events and policy. Agglomeration nonlinearities are explicitly manifested by the superlinear power law scaling of most urban socioeconomic indicators with population size, all with similar exponents (~1.15). As a result larger cities are disproportionally the centers of innovation, wealth and crime, all to approximately the same degree. We use these general urban laws to develop new urban metrics that disentangle dynamics at different scales and provide true measures of local urban performance. New rankings of cities and a novel and simpler perspective on urban systems emerge. We find that local urban dynamics display long-term memory, so cities under or outperforming their size expectation maintain such (dis)advantage for decades. Spatiotemporal correlation analyses reveal a novel functional taxonomy of U.S. metropolitan areas that is generally not organized geographically but based instead on common local economic models, innovation strategies and patterns of crime.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
PLOS , 2010. Vol. 5, no 11, article id e13541
Keywords [en]
article, crime, economic aspect, environmental sustainability, human, life history, mathematical analysis, policy, population size, social status, socioeconomics, United States, urban population, urbanization, algorithm, city, legal aspect, population density, social change, statistical model, statistics, Algorithms, Cities, Humans, Models, Economic, Public Policy, Socioeconomic Factors
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-58278DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0013541ISI: 000284036800004PubMedID: 21085659Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-78649720524OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-58278DiVA, id: diva2:1689211
Available from: 2022-08-22 Created: 2022-08-22 Last updated: 2023-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Strumsky, Deborah

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