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Measuring liquidity in agricultural land markets
Department of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Department of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Department of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Department of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2543-3673
2022 (English)In: Agricultural Finance Review, ISSN 0002-1466, E-ISSN 2041-6326, Vol. 82, no 4, p. 690-713Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Purpose: Liquidity is an important aspect of market efficiency. The purpose of this paper is threefold: first, this paper aims to discuss indicators that provide information about liquidity in agricultural land markets. Second, this paper aims to reflect on determinants of market liquidity and analyze the relationship with land prices. Third, this paper aims to conduct an empirical analysis for Germany that illustrates these concepts and allows hypothesis testing.

Design/methodology/approach: This study reviews liquidity dimensions and measurement in financial markets and derives indicators applicable to farmland markets. In an empirical analysis, this study exhibits the spatial and temporal variability of land market liquidity in Lower Saxony, a German federal state with the highest agricultural production value. This study uses a rich dataset that includes 72,547 sale transactions of arable land between 1990 and 2018. The research focuses on volume-based (number of transactions, volume and turnover) and time-based (trading frequency and durations) measures. A panel vector autoregression and Granger causality tests are applied to investigate the relation between land turnover and land prices.

Findings: The paper confirms the thinness of farmland markets but also reveals regional and temporal heterogeneity of land market liquidity. This study finds that the relation between market liquidity and prices is ambiguous. This study concludes that a high demand from expanding farms absorbs supply shocks regardless of the current price level in agricultural land markets.

Originality/value: Even though the relevance of agricultural land markets’ thinness is widely acknowledged in the literature, this paper is one of the first attempts to measure liquidity in agricultural land markets and to explain its relationship with land prices.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 2022. Vol. 82, no 4, p. 690-713
Keywords [en]
Agricultural land markets, Granger causality, Liquidity indicators, Panel vector autoregressive model
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-55159DOI: 10.1108/AFR-03-2021-0037ISI: 000696666700001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85114897508OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-55159DiVA, id: diva2:1614646
Available from: 2021-11-26 Created: 2021-11-26 Last updated: 2022-12-11Bibliographically approved

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Ritter, Matthias

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