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Distributional consequences of surging housing rents
University of Fribourg, Switzerland; CESifo, Munich, Germany; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn, Germany; Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM), University College London, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
University of St. Gallen, Switzerland; Globalization of Real Estate Network, University of Zurich, Switzerland; Swiss Institute for Empirical Economic Research, Switzerland.
Leipzig University, Germany.
Leipzig University, Germany; CESifo, Munich, Germany; Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), Germany .
2021 (English)In: Journal of Economic Theory, ISSN 0022-0531, E-ISSN 1095-7235, Vol. 196, article id 105275Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The trajectories of real housing rents and real house prices have shown an upward sloping trend in most industrialized countries since WW2. The burden of rising housing rents is likely to be distributed unequally because income-poor households devote a larger share of their consumption expenditures on housing than income-rich households. This inverse relation between income and the expenditure share of housing is labeled Schwabe's law. We analyze how the dynamics in housing rents affect household welfare, accounting for Schwabe's law and the endogeneity of housing rents in general equilibrium. We show analytically that Schwabe's law amplifies heterogeneous welfare effects that operate through housing rent changes. We then study how zoning deregulation affects household welfare in general equilibrium. Zoning deregulation triggers a temporarily slower growth in housing rents and house prices. The representative household experiences a welfare gain of 0.37 percent. This welfare effect is unequally distributed at the micro-level. The highest welfare gain amounts to 12.52 percent, while the highest welfare loss amounts to 1.63 percent. Lower housing rent growth drives most of the overall welfare gain, and Schwabe's law is responsible for most of the variation in the welfare gain across households. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2021. Vol. 196, article id 105275
Keywords [en]
Long-term growth, Macroeconomics and housing, Schwabe's law, Wealth inequality, Welfare
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-55141DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105275ISI: 000693029400005Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85107448111OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-55141DiVA, id: diva2:1613781
Available from: 2021-11-23 Created: 2021-11-23 Last updated: 2021-11-23Bibliographically approved

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Larin, Benjamin

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