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A branching process model of evolutionary rescue
Department of Biology and Biochemistry, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Jönköping University, School of Engineering, JTH, Physics and Mathematics and Chemical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4528-5658
2021 (English)In: Mathematical Biosciences, ISSN 0025-5564, E-ISSN 1879-3134, Vol. 341, article id 108708Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Evolutionary rescue is the process whereby a declining population may start growing again, thus avoiding extinction, via an increase in the frequency of fitter genotypes. These genotypes may either already be present in the population in small numbers, or arise by mutation as the population declines. We present a simple two-type discrete-time branching process model and use it to obtain results such as the probability of rescue, the shape of the population growth curve of a rescued population, and the time until the first rescuing mutation occurs. Comparisons are made to existing results in the literature in cases where both the mutation rate and the selective advantage of the beneficial mutations are small.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2021. Vol. 341, article id 108708
Keywords [en]
Evolutionary rescue, Adaptation, Extinction, Beneficial mutations, Branching process, Population dynamics
National Category
Evolutionary Biology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-54879DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108708ISI: 000718005200001PubMedID: 34560091Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85117778587Local ID: HOA;intsam;54879OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-54879DiVA, id: diva2:1604006
Funder
NIH (National Institute of Health), R15GM093957Available from: 2021-10-18 Created: 2021-10-18 Last updated: 2022-10-31Bibliographically approved

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Olofsson, Peter

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