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Soft Power, World System Dynamics, and Democratization: A Bass Model of Democracy Diffusion 1800–2000
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Political Science.
2011 (English)In: JASSS: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, E-ISSN 1460-7425, Vol. 14, no (1) 4Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Political scientists seldom translate system terminology into systems analysis. This article uses Polity IV data to probe system dynamics for studies of the global diffusion of democracy from 1800 to 2000. By analogy with the Bass model of diffusion of innovations (1969), as translated into system dynamics by Sterman (2000), the dynamic explanation proposed focuses on transitions to democracy, soft power, and communication rates on a global level. The analysis suggests that the transition from democratic experiences (“the soft power of democracy”) can be estimated from the systems dynamics simulation of an extended Bass model. Soft power, fueled by the growth in communications worldwide, is today the major force behind the diffusion of democracy. Our findings indicate the applicability of system dynamics simulation tools for the analysis of political change over time in the world system of polities.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
JASSS , 2011. Vol. 14, no (1) 4
Keywords [en]
democracy, system, communication, simulation, power, diffusion
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Media and Communications
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-7740DOI: 10.18564/jasss.1732ISI: 000286884000004Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-79751512249OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-7740DiVA, id: diva2:158633
Available from: 2009-09-28 Created: 2009-02-03 Last updated: 2022-09-15Bibliographically approved

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Sandberg, Mikael

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