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Copula-based Black–Litterman Portfolio Optimization
Linnaeus University, Växjö, Sweden.
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Centre for Entrepreneurship and Spatial Economics (CEnSE). Linnaeus University, Växjö, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5776-9396
Åbo Akademi, Turku, Finland.
2022 (English)In: European Journal of Operational Research, ISSN 0377-2217, E-ISSN 1872-6860, Vol. 297, no 3, p. 1055-1070Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We extend the Black-Litterman (BL) approach to incorporate tail dependency in portfolio optimization and estimate the posterior joint distribution of returns using vine copulas. Our novel copula-based BL (CBL) model leads to flexibility in modeling returns symmetric and asymmetric multivariate distribution from a range of copula families. Based on a sample of the Eurostoxx 50 constituents (also for S&P 100 as robustness check), we evaluate the performance of the suggested CBL approach and portfolio optimization technique using out-of-sample back-testing. Our empirical analysis and robustness check indicate better performance for the CBL portfolios in terms of lower tail risk and higher risk-adjusted returns, compared to the benchmark strategies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2022. Vol. 297, no 3, p. 1055-1070
Keywords [en]
Finance, portfolio optimization, Black–Litterman framework, truncated regular vine copula, tail constraints, conditional value-at-risk
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-53119DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.06.015ISI: 000719584000020Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85119565907Local ID: HOA;intsam;53119OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-53119DiVA, id: diva2:1565469
Available from: 2021-06-14 Created: 2021-06-14 Last updated: 2021-11-29Bibliographically approved

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Stephan, Andreas

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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  • Other style
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  • de-DE
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  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
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Output format
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