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The Magnitude of Warfare Revisited: System Polarity and War Duration
Jönköping University, School of Education and Communication, HLK, Learning Practices inside and outside School (LPS), Sustainability Education Research (SER).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1240-4323
2021 (English)In: Journal of Strategic Security, ISSN 1944-0464, E-ISSN 1944-0472, Vol. 14, no 2, p. 25-46Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

One of the intractable debates in the study of international conflict is the linkage between polarity and magnitude of interstate warfare. Speculations about the effects of the structure of the international system can be traced back to the Treaty of Westphalia. This article revisits this debate with a focus on war duration, which has received little attention in the literature, and presents the first theoretical discussion of the connection between polarity and war duration. It also uses a hazards model to statistically test whether five different measures of polarity are associated with war duration (1816-1992). The results provide initial support for the hypothesis that an increase in the number of poles in the state system is associated with longer wars on average. The empirical analysis and the theoretical discussion are important for understanding the consequences of the declining U.S. hegemony.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Scholar Commons , 2021. Vol. 14, no 2, p. 25-46
Keywords [en]
International security, War studies, War duration
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-52805DOI: 10.5038/1944-0472.14.2.1885Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85108656305Local ID: POA;;1561313OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-52805DiVA, id: diva2:1561313
Available from: 2021-06-07 Created: 2021-06-07 Last updated: 2021-07-16Bibliographically approved

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Nilsson, Marco

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